Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    3.348095E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T04:50:00+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58449
    NORAD ID 58449
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-30943
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-20T06:24:50+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.348095E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.872 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.354 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.384 | I (In-track): -0.612 | C (Cross-track): -1.725
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.45
    X Position (km) 6833.399 6833.629
    Position Y (km) 416.765 418.405
    Position Z (km) 439.412 440.282
    Velocity X (km/s) -0.43 -0.004
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.029 5.597
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.545 -5.18

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-30943
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.332 km 6861.195 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000710 0.000143
    Inclination (i) 97.5336° 43.0031°
    RAAN 3.1824° 194.2889°
    Perigee Argument 350.1690° 261.9347°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 9.9409° 98.1342°
    Apogee 489.071 km 484.042 km
    Perigee 479.319 km 482.074 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T11:31:41+0000 2026-10-19T01:24:24+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30943 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30943 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30943 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30943 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30943Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30943Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data