Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.075173E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T05:59:10+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63203
    NORAD ID 63203
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-32930
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-20T01:52:06+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.075173E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.039 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.182 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.757 | I (In-track): 0.431 | C (Cross-track): 0.565
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.61
    X Position (km) 5032.619 5033.499
    Position Y (km) -283.387 -283.922
    Position Z (km) 4647.338 4647.471
    Velocity X (km/s) -5.159 0.945
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.072 7.546
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.514 -0.558

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-32930
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.332 km 6861.183 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000710 0.000426
    Inclination (i) 97.5336° 43.0006°
    RAAN 3.1824° 264.3638°
    Perigee Argument 350.1690° 303.3235°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 9.9409° 56.7208°
    Apogee 489.071 km 485.970 km
    Perigee 479.319 km 480.122 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T11:31:41+0000 2026-10-19T00:20:29+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-32930 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-32930 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-32930 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-32930 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32930Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32930Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data