Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.114563E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-18T06:37:22+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 57614
    NORAD ID 57614
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30244
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-19T23:30:39+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.114563E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.464 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 6.521 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.298 | I (In-track): -2.209 | C (Cross-track): 1.047
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.36
    X Position (km) -2622.037 -2622.896
    Position Y (km) 5201.533 5200.185
    Position Z (km) -3629.482 -3631.356
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.743 -4.944
    Velocity Y (km/s) -4.074 -4.782
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.389 -3.279

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30244
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.653 km 6861.192 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001208 0.000170
    Inclination (i) 82.5045° 43.0021°
    RAAN 294.5954° 269.7867°
    Perigee Argument 65.3162° 276.8480°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 294.9336° 83.2179°
    Apogee 479.794 km 484.220 km
    Perigee 463.238 km 481.890 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-17T10:59:56+0000 2026-10-17T07:44:02+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30244 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30244 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30244 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30244 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30244Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30244Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data