Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    6.221601E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-19T02:04:05+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 48260
    NORAD ID 48260
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    FR FR
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 68489
    NORAD ID 68489
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    DE DE

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter ARIANE 1 DEB LEMUR-2 CARROLLEMO
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-19T20:58:13+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 6.221601E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.495 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.033 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.771 | I (In-track): -0.79 | C (Cross-track): -1.006
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.51
    X Position (km) -1957.486 -1958.45
    Position Y (km) -6149.371 -6149.448
    Position Z (km) -2640.395 -2641.535
    Velocity X (km/s) 8.062 -1.909
    Velocity Y (km/s) -3.508 -2.358
    Velocity Z (km/s) -1.389 6.924

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter ARIANE 1 DEB LEMUR-2 CARROLLEMO
    Semimajor Axis (a) 11354.254 km 6969.047 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.410828 0.000319
    Inclination (i) 23.0566° 97.7691°
    RAAN 1.8990° 247.6144°
    Perigee Argument 218.3835° 46.0756°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 103.7849° 314.0726°
    Apogee 9640.763 km 593.132 km
    Perigee 311.471 km 588.688 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-17T19:39:20+0000 2026-10-18T08:03:25+0000

    ARIANE 1 DEB & LEMUR-2 CARROLLEMO Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    ARIANE 1 DEB & LEMUR-2 CARROLLEMO Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    ARIANE 1 DEB & LEMUR-2 CARROLLEMO Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    ARIANE 1 DEB & LEMUR-2 CARROLLEMO Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    ARIANE 1 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    LEMUR-2 CARROLLEMOMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    ARIANE 1 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    LEMUR-2 CARROLLEMOCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with ARIANE 1 DEB

    No nearby objects data