Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.273078E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-19T23:43:20+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 14699
    NORAD ID 14699
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59366
    NORAD ID 59366
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1536 STARLINK-31451
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-19T16:21:00+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.273078E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.22 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.522 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.652 | I (In-track): 0.487 | C (Cross-track): 0.91
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.57
    X Position (km) 2785.725 2785.088
    Position Y (km) 6195.995 6196.933
    Position Z (km) -961.007 -961.458
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.344 -4.842
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.552 2.962
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.488 5.091

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1536 STARLINK-31451
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6865.161 km 6861.193 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001249 0.000120
    Inclination (i) 82.5427° 42.9996°
    RAAN 245.2871° 77.8472°
    Perigee Argument 207.8998° 271.1773°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 152.1572° 88.8942°
    Apogee 495.601 km 483.876 km
    Perigee 478.447 km 482.236 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T02:56:27+0000 2026-10-19T02:16:43+0000

    COSMOS 1536 & STARLINK-31451 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1536 & STARLINK-31451 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1536 & STARLINK-31451 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1536 & STARLINK-31451 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1536Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31451Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1536Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31451Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1536

    No nearby objects data