Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.493348E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-19T09:51:29+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58630
    NORAD ID 58630
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31084
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-19T02:16:35+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.493348E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.549 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.619 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.549 | I (In-track): 0.002 | C (Cross-track): -0.014
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.78
    X Position (km) 5105.934 5105.516
    Position Y (km) -355.272 -355.242
    Position Z (km) 4561.496 4561.142
    Velocity X (km/s) -5.081 1.53
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.989 7.385
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.602 -1.135

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31084
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.391 km 6861.180 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000716 0.000123
    Inclination (i) 97.5336° 43.0035°
    RAAN 2.5210° 253.9206°
    Perigee Argument 352.5155° 276.3712°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 7.5976° 83.6999°
    Apogee 489.170 km 483.890 km
    Perigee 479.338 km 482.196 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-18T19:48:10+0000 2026-10-18T05:25:45+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31084 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31084 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31084 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31084 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31084Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31084Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data