Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    8.633515E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-17T03:51:13+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 57620
    NORAD ID 57620
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30141
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-18T22:24:29+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 8.633515E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.882 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 6.222 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.435 | I (In-track): -2.601 | C (Cross-track): -1.158
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.34
    X Position (km) -2751.246 -2750.592
    Position Y (km) 5330.201 5332.279
    Position Z (km) -3334.206 -3332.32
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.665 -4.737
    Velocity Y (km/s) -3.765 -4.722
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.586 -3.652

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30141
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.706 km 6861.087 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001213 0.000100
    Inclination (i) 82.5044° 43.0035°
    RAAN 295.7845° 275.7151°
    Perigee Argument 68.8663° 190.7645°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 291.3874° 169.3186°
    Apogee 479.880 km 483.635 km
    Perigee 463.258 km 482.265 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-16T06:46:19+0000 2026-10-16T06:39:22+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30141 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30141 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30141 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30141 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30141Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30141Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data