Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    4.671202E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-19T01:40:19+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 33821
    NORAD ID 33821
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 60469
    NORAD ID 60469
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    AU AU

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB WARATAH SEED-1
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-18T19:34:38+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.671202E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.691 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.214 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.674 | I (In-track): -0.004 | C (Cross-track): 0.238
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.48
    X Position (km) -6276.381 -6277.981
    Position Y (km) -1087.028 -1087.074
    Position Z (km) -2467.526 -2468.07
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.202 2.507
    Velocity Y (km/s) -2.665 1.498
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.797 -7.057

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB WARATAH SEED-1
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6803.978 km 6827.769 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003306 0.000283
    Inclination (i) 74.0216° 97.3600°
    RAAN 197.7442° 12.3309°
    Perigee Argument 152.4881° 124.7306°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 207.8090° 235.4206°
    Apogee 448.339 km 451.565 km
    Perigee 403.343 km 447.699 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-18T02:35:58+0000 2026-10-18T10:54:09+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & WARATAH SEED-1 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & WARATAH SEED-1 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & WARATAH SEED-1 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & WARATAH SEED-1 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    WARATAH SEED-1Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    WARATAH SEED-1Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data