Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    3.595034E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-19T01:41:23+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34036
    NORAD ID 34036
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58872
    NORAD ID 58872
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-31215
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-18T17:51:15+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.595034E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.893 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.781 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.844 | I (In-track): 0.164 | C (Cross-track): -0.242
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.66
    X Position (km) -4122.656 -4122.931
    Position Y (km) -5152.399 -5153.189
    Position Z (km) 1868.165 1868.478
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.952 3.679
    Velocity Y (km/s) 0.196 -4.68
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.022 -4.769

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-31215
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6846.927 km 6861.189 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001686 0.000133
    Inclination (i) 73.9966° 43.0016°
    RAAN 228.3578° 71.0316°
    Perigee Argument 199.7304° 260.4932°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 160.3250° 99.5769°
    Apogee 480.337 km 483.964 km
    Perigee 457.243 km 482.140 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-17T22:58:52+0000 2026-10-18T09:19:35+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31215 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31215 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31215 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31215 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31215Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31215Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data