Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.011445E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-18T17:56:14+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 9953
    NORAD ID 9953
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 69808
    NORAD ID 69808
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 886 DEB QIANFAN-209
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-18T12:02:07+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.011445E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.499 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.252 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.108 | I (In-track): 0.126 | C (Cross-track): 0.471
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.81
    X Position (km) 5892.722 5892.807
    Position Y (km) -1283.112 -1282.649
    Position Z (km) -4234.954 -4234.788
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.352 4.16
    Velocity Y (km/s) 4.317 -0.744
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.609 6.014

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 886 DEB QIANFAN-209
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7584.879 km 7351.347 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.083865 0.000500
    Inclination (i) 65.8428° 88.9949°
    RAAN 151.3297° 348.5029°
    Perigee Argument 145.0961° 208.5893°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 220.8138° 151.4999°
    Apogee 1842.848 km 976.890 km
    Perigee 570.636 km 969.530 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-17T14:54:41+0000 2026-10-17T18:45:12+0000

    COSMOS 886 DEB & QIANFAN-209 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 886 DEB & QIANFAN-209 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEB & QIANFAN-209 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 886 DEB & QIANFAN-209 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    QIANFAN-209Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    QIANFAN-209Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 886 DEB

    No nearby objects data