Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.023896E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-17T03:51:13+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59623
    NORAD ID 59623
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31763
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-18T00:30:47+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.023896E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.956 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 8.935 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.206 | I (In-track): -2.386 | C (Cross-track): -1.73
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.35
    X Position (km) -2605.7 -2604.507
    Position Y (km) 4348.806 4350.949
    Position Z (km) -4627.581 -4625.933
    Velocity X (km/s) 1.441 -6.106
    Velocity Y (km/s) -5.02 -4.487
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.537 -0.783

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31763
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.706 km 6861.193 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001213 0.000096
    Inclination (i) 82.5044° 42.9992°
    RAAN 295.7845° 232.5471°
    Perigee Argument 68.8663° 269.2190°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 291.3874° 90.8552°
    Apogee 479.880 km 483.713 km
    Perigee 463.258 km 482.399 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-16T06:46:19+0000 2026-10-16T06:34:24+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31763 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31763 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31763 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31763 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31763Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31763Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data