Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    3.071389E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T04:24:36+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59161
    NORAD ID 59161
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31256
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-17T21:57:45+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.071389E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.777 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 10.024 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.432 | I (In-track): -1.301 | C (Cross-track): 1.129
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.45
    X Position (km) 5245.219 5245.756
    Position Y (km) -434.866 -435.804
    Position Z (km) 4393.2 4391.79
    Velocity X (km/s) -4.912 -0.88
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.9 7.365
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.766 1.778

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31256
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.745 km 6861.195 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000743 0.000087
    Inclination (i) 97.5337° 42.9998°
    RAAN 358.8838° 307.6552°
    Perigee Argument 6.1630° 273.9266°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 353.9699° 86.1486°
    Apogee 489.708 km 483.658 km
    Perigee 479.508 km 482.458 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T05:18:36+0000 2026-10-15T02:10:43+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31256 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31256 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31256 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31256 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31256Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31256Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data