Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.267344E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-17T15:38:24+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63118
    NORAD ID 63118
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-32945
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-17T21:22:33+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.267344E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.714 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 10.662 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.782 | I (In-track): -1.848 | C (Cross-track): 1.826
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.37
    X Position (km) -2620.332 -2621.916
    Position Y (km) 4358.756 4357.293
    Position Z (km) -4609.871 -4611.518
    Velocity X (km/s) 1.442 -6.859
    Velocity Y (km/s) -4.999 -3.191
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.555 0.886

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-32945
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.706 km 6861.190 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001213 0.000119
    Inclination (i) 82.5044° 42.9987°
    RAAN 295.7845° 205.7831°
    Perigee Argument 68.8663° 40.2239°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 291.3874° 319.8701°
    Apogee 479.880 km 483.873 km
    Perigee 463.258 km 482.233 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-16T06:46:19+0000 2026-10-16T11:12:09+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-32945 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-32945 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-32945 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-32945 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32945Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32945Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data