Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.637489E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T13:24:58+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 31746
    NORAD ID 31746
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 68492
    NORAD ID 68492
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    DE DE

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter FENGYUN 1C DEB LEMUR-2 EMARCHIA
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-17T01:42:07+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.637489E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.605 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.834 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.284 | I (In-track): -0.452 | C (Cross-track): -2.22
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.39
    X Position (km) 1398.768 1396.33
    Position Y (km) 4849.004 4848.728
    Position Z (km) 4801.551 4800.678
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.087 2.777
    Velocity Y (km/s) -5.331 4.541
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.363 -5.376

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter FENGYUN 1C DEB LEMUR-2 EMARCHIA
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6965.373 km 6967.628 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001735 0.000455
    Inclination (i) 98.6042° 97.7715°
    RAAN 80.3511° 245.2528°
    Perigee Argument 297.6527° 37.4851°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 62.2928° 322.6684°
    Apogee 599.323 km 592.661 km
    Perigee 575.149 km 586.321 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T09:18:22+0000 2026-10-15T20:08:15+0000

    FENGYUN 1C DEB & LEMUR-2 EMARCHIA Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    FENGYUN 1C DEB & LEMUR-2 EMARCHIA Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEB & LEMUR-2 EMARCHIA Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    FENGYUN 1C DEB & LEMUR-2 EMARCHIA Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    LEMUR-2 EMARCHIAMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    LEMUR-2 EMARCHIACollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with FENGYUN 1C DEB

    No nearby objects data