Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.44187E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T04:24:36+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 56702
    NORAD ID 56702
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-30117
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T22:00:39+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.44187E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.034 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.311 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.694 | I (In-track): 0.672 | C (Cross-track): -0.901
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.43
    X Position (km) 5022.447 5021.656
    Position Y (km) 665.426 666.096
    Position Z (km) -4633.318 -4631.569
    Velocity X (km/s) 5.188 -1.664
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.678 7.397
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.536 -0.741

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-30117
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.745 km 6861.190 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000743 0.000111
    Inclination (i) 97.5337° 42.9996°
    RAAN 358.8838° 118.1939°
    Perigee Argument 6.1630° 270.1472°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 353.9699° 89.9252°
    Apogee 489.708 km 483.819 km
    Perigee 479.508 km 482.287 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T05:18:36+0000 2026-10-15T05:38:18+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30117 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30117 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30117 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30117 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30117Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30117Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data