Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    5.567696E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T13:35:16+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 39583
    NORAD ID 39583
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 67382
    NORAD ID 67382
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CA CA

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB AETHER-11
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T21:59:50+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.567696E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.48 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 10.542 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.635 | I (In-track): -0.951 | C (Cross-track): 0.939
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.5
    X Position (km) -1432.879 -1431.647
    Position Y (km) 1645.112 1644.319
    Position Z (km) 6631.165 6630.959
    Velocity X (km/s) -7.28 -1.763
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.882 7.034
    Velocity Z (km/s) -1.036 -2.121

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB AETHER-11
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7055.509 km 6988.788 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.012766 0.000249
    Inclination (i) 73.9328° 97.8114°
    RAAN 14.8992° 285.4217°
    Perigee Argument 59.5600° 124.3139°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 301.8107° 235.8312°
    Apogee 767.442 km 612.390 km
    Perigee 587.302 km 608.912 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T12:46:45+0000 2026-10-15T22:53:39+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & AETHER-11 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & AETHER-11 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & AETHER-11 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & AETHER-11 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    AETHER-11Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    AETHER-11Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data