Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.482815E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T20:52:09+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 40794
    NORAD ID 40794
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 53925
    NORAD ID 53925
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-5011
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T21:10:51+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.482815E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.683 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.573 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.644 | I (In-track): -0.951 | C (Cross-track): 1.896
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.38
    X Position (km) -5755.541 -5758.074
    Position Y (km) -3582.858 -3581.978
    Position Z (km) 1210.366 1210.279
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.22 1.54
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.13 -4.498
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.188 -5.942

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-5011
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6880.783 km 6889.902 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001070 0.000071
    Inclination (i) 73.9672° 53.1620°
    RAAN 213.8873° 46.6397°
    Perigee Argument 232.8221° 108.7973°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 301.3676° 226.9178°
    Apogee 510.008 km 512.253 km
    Perigee 495.284 km 511.277 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-14T13:04:42+0000 2026-10-15T08:00:02+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-5011 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-5011 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-5011 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-5011 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-5011Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-5011Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data