Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.511887E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T20:52:10+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 40794
    NORAD ID 40794
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name JAY-C
    AOE ID 62668
    NORAD ID 62668
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CA CA

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB JAY-C
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T17:39:57+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.511887E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.745 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.882 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -2.555 | I (In-track): -0.189 | C (Cross-track): 0.983
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.39
    X Position (km) -2816.321 -2815.588
    Position Y (km) 485.735 486.481
    Position Z (km) -6261.642 -6259.104
    Velocity X (km/s) -5.95 6.881
    Velocity Y (km/s) -4.108 1.201
    Velocity Z (km/s) 2.35 -3.002

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB JAY-C
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6880.783 km 6874.870 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001070 0.000272
    Inclination (i) 73.9672° 97.3870°
    RAAN 213.8873° 5.2420°
    Perigee Argument 232.8221° 280.2062°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 301.3676° 79.8868°
    Apogee 510.008 km 498.606 km
    Perigee 495.284 km 494.860 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-14T13:04:42+0000 2026-10-15T05:53:48+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & JAY-C Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & JAY-C Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & JAY-C Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & JAY-C Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    JAY-CMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    JAY-CCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data