Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    5.806856E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-17T00:53:38+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 41207
    NORAD ID 41207
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    US US
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 69912
    NORAD ID 69912
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CA CA

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter NOAA 16 DEB MARMOTSAT
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T17:38:18+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.806856E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.816 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 2.754 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -2.776 | I (In-track): 0.463 | C (Cross-track): -0.095
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.3
    X Position (km) 696.415 697.134
    Position Y (km) -845.901 -846.072
    Position Z (km) -6892.281 -6894.998
    Velocity X (km/s) -6.552 -7.428
    Velocity Y (km/s) -3.755 -1.175
    Velocity Z (km/s) -0.213 -0.609

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter NOAA 16 DEB MARMOTSAT
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6985.438 km 6972.899 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002476 0.000302
    Inclination (i) 98.8948° 97.7452°
    RAAN 208.9855° 187.5849°
    Perigee Argument 233.1720° 137.8313°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 126.7222° 222.3138°
    Apogee 624.596 km 596.871 km
    Perigee 590.006 km 592.653 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-16T05:07:48+0000 2026-10-15T22:44:07+0000

    NOAA 16 DEB & MARMOTSAT Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    NOAA 16 DEB & MARMOTSAT Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    NOAA 16 DEB & MARMOTSAT Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    NOAA 16 DEB & MARMOTSAT Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    NOAA 16 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    MARMOTSATMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    NOAA 16 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    MARMOTSATCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with NOAA 16 DEB

    No nearby objects data