Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    6.030264E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T09:18:08+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 39109
    NORAD ID 39109
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 53758
    NORAD ID 53758
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB CENTISPACE-1 S4
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T15:51:10+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 6.030264E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.386 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 8.616 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.333 | I (In-track): -0.314 | C (Cross-track): 0.211
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.51
    X Position (km) -4184.294 -4183.319
    Position Y (km) -668.419 -668.607
    Position Z (km) -5654.389 -5653.424
    Velocity X (km/s) 5.819 0.411
    Velocity Y (km/s) -2.548 -7.474
    Velocity Z (km/s) -3.967 0.583

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB CENTISPACE-1 S4
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7031.575 km 7064.689 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.005736 0.000783
    Inclination (i) 74.0433° 53.5299°
    RAAN 354.6224° 279.6896°
    Perigee Argument 19.0589° 294.6377°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 42.6296° 65.3783°
    Apogee 693.770 km 692.086 km
    Perigee 613.106 km 681.018 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-12T13:13:11+0000 2026-10-14T06:48:48+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CENTISPACE-1 S4 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CENTISPACE-1 S4 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CENTISPACE-1 S4 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CENTISPACE-1 S4 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CENTISPACE-1 S4Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    CENTISPACE-1 S4Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data