Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.50662E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T00:11:24+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 4768
    NORAD ID 4768
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    US US
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 14973
    NORAD ID 14973
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter THORAD AGENA D DEB COSMOS 1553
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T10:38:48+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.50662E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.106 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.704 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.198 | I (In-track): 0.042 | C (Cross-track): 1.731
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.43
    X Position (km) 7010.841 7009.174
    Position Y (km) -2154.048 -2155.326
    Position Z (km) -728.269 -728.415
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.274 -0.436
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.447 1.084
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.208 -7.258

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter THORAD AGENA D DEB COSMOS 1553
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7371.218 km 7357.559 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003057 0.003111
    Inclination (i) 100.1528° 82.9381°
    RAAN 339.4474° 163.8849°
    Perigee Argument 79.2503° 302.5300°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 336.3949° 175.0426°
    Apogee 1015.619 km 1002.313 km
    Perigee 970.543 km 956.531 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-14T02:55:48+0000 2026-10-14T04:12:02+0000

    THORAD AGENA D DEB & COSMOS 1553 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    THORAD AGENA D DEB & COSMOS 1553 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    THORAD AGENA D DEB & COSMOS 1553 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    THORAD AGENA D DEB & COSMOS 1553 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    THORAD AGENA D DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1553Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    THORAD AGENA D DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1553Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with THORAD AGENA D DEB

    No nearby objects data