Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    3.94007E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T14:28:56+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 36441
    NORAD ID 36441
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63567
    NORAD ID 63567
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-32954
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T10:07:59+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.94007E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.446 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 5.623 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.444 | I (In-track): 0.058 | C (Cross-track): 0.045
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.47
    X Position (km) -3179.734 -3180.365
    Position Y (km) -4643.462 -4644.493
    Position Z (km) 3916.06 3916.853
    Velocity X (km/s) -0.21 4.488
    Velocity Y (km/s) -4.901 -5.472
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.876 -2.84

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-32954
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6910.349 km 6861.012 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.009967 0.000461
    Inclination (i) 73.8321° 43.0053°
    RAAN 68.8231° 106.9741°
    Perigee Argument 103.1088° 253.2639°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 258.1250° 106.7708°
    Apogee 601.086 km 486.035 km
    Perigee 463.338 km 479.715 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T16:02:00+0000 2026-10-15T21:02:35+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-32954 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-32954 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-32954 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-32954 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32954Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-32954Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data