Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    5.321332E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T04:24:37+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 57718
    NORAD ID 57718
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-30338
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T09:45:41+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.321332E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.441 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 8.675 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.174 | I (In-track): -1.172 | C (Cross-track): 0.819
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.5
    X Position (km) 5749.574 5750.359
    Position Y (km) -482.146 -482.84
    Position Z (km) 3704.034 3703.045
    Velocity X (km/s) -4.162 -1.481
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.843 6.776
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.337 3.174

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-30338
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.745 km 6861.139 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000743 0.000117
    Inclination (i) 97.5337° 43.0055°
    RAAN 358.8838° 318.7613°
    Perigee Argument 6.1630° 263.7659°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 353.9699° 96.3060°
    Apogee 489.708 km 483.807 km
    Perigee 479.508 km 482.197 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T05:18:36+0000 2026-10-15T03:43:03+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30338 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30338 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30338 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-30338 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30338Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30338Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data