Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    7.085367E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T16:25:46+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38208
    NORAD ID 38208
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 60534
    NORAD ID 60534
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    ES ES

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB SATELIOT_2
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T09:08:24+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 7.085367E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.749 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.105 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.745 | I (In-track): 0.003 | C (Cross-track): -0.066
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.72
    X Position (km) 6950.627 6951.374
    Position Y (km) 272.105 272.068
    Position Z (km) -142.79 -142.816
    Velocity X (km/s) -0.225 0.184
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.079 -1.004
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.279 7.501

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB SATELIOT_2
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6959.926 km 6955.190 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000809 0.000182
    Inclination (i) 74.0017° 97.6726°
    RAAN 182.7812° 1.3617°
    Perigee Argument 202.1235° 81.1707°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 164.2531° 278.9720°
    Apogee 587.419 km 578.320 km
    Perigee 576.159 km 575.786 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T22:43:32+0000 2026-10-15T15:29:45+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & SATELIOT_2 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & SATELIOT_2 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & SATELIOT_2 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & SATELIOT_2 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    SATELIOT_2Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    SATELIOT_2Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data