Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    9.395221E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T03:42:36+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34856
    NORAD ID 34856
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63462
    NORAD ID 63462
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-33691
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T07:22:39+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 9.395221E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.591 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 8.204 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.01 | I (In-track): 0.498 | C (Cross-track): 0.319
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.74
    X Position (km) 5026.979 5026.744
    Position Y (km) -49.748 -49.264
    Position Z (km) -4672.437 -4672.679
    Velocity X (km/s) -4.777 -0.177
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.917 7.611
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.18 -0.27

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-33691
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6876.230 km 6861.134 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002814 0.000177
    Inclination (i) 74.0023° 43.0005°
    RAAN 166.6603° 101.5480°
    Perigee Argument 217.9069° 279.8353°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 208.1826° 80.2299°
    Apogee 517.443 km 484.212 km
    Perigee 478.743 km 481.782 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T00:43:13+0000 2026-10-14T21:15:37+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-33691 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-33691 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-33691 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-33691 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-33691Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-33691Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data