Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    9.208065E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T23:41:42+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 64705
    NORAD ID 64705
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-34406
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T04:23:34+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 9.208065E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.683 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.815 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.187 | I (In-track): -0.158 | C (Cross-track): -0.636
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.74
    X Position (km) -2899.903 -2899.388
    Position Y (km) 6175.409 6175.848
    Position Z (km) 660.638 660.729
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.221 -2.075
    Velocity Y (km/s) 0.251 -1.744
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.524 7.13

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-34406
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.748 km 6852.628 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001218 0.000311
    Inclination (i) 82.5042° 70.0001°
    RAAN 296.7754° 115.5531°
    Perigee Argument 71.7155° 272.2071°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 288.5411° 87.8749°
    Apogee 479.954 km 476.619 km
    Perigee 463.268 km 472.363 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T07:14:56+0000 2026-10-15T06:24:24+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-34406 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-34406 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-34406 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-34406 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34406Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34406Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data