Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.530776E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T06:57:41+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 47015
    NORAD ID 47015
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58443
    NORAD ID 58443
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter FENGYUN 1C DEB * STARLINK-30971
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T01:21:30+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.530776E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.654 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.914 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.21 | I (In-track): -0.62 | C (Cross-track): 1.331
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.39
    X Position (km) -5616.623 -5614.065
    Position Y (km) -1592.042 -1592.577
    Position Z (km) -3613.082 -3612.623
    Velocity X (km/s) 3.431 -0.178
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.389 -6.864
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.439 3.305

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter FENGYUN 1C DEB * STARLINK-30971
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6970.418 km 6861.249 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.016204 0.000190
    Inclination (i) 98.6826° 43.0012°
    RAAN 18.4761° 241.8477°
    Perigee Argument 208.9795° 250.6084°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 150.2353° 109.4563°
    Apogee 705.230 km 484.414 km
    Perigee 479.332 km 481.810 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-13T12:50:55+0000 2026-10-15T06:44:50+0000

    FENGYUN 1C DEB * & STARLINK-30971 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    FENGYUN 1C DEB * & STARLINK-30971 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEB * & STARLINK-30971 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    FENGYUN 1C DEB * & STARLINK-30971 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEB *Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30971Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    FENGYUN 1C DEB *Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30971Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with FENGYUN 1C DEB *

    No nearby objects data