Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.420565E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-14T13:36:12+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38302
    NORAD ID 38302
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58903
    NORAD ID 58903
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2D DEB LEMUR 2 CAEL
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T01:06:11+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.420565E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.155 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.168 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.228 | I (In-track): -0.309 | C (Cross-track): 2.12
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.43
    X Position (km) -5161.381 -5162.443
    Position Y (km) 3630.865 3628.993
    Position Z (km) -2568.483 -2568.388
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.95 -1.718
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.762 2.506
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.036 7.021

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2D DEB LEMUR 2 CAEL
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6842.789 km 6811.129 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.005089 0.000791
    Inclination (i) 97.4574° 97.3914°
    RAAN 325.1936° 139.3661°
    Perigee Argument 202.0920° 38.5553°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 157.8130° 321.6259°
    Apogee 499.472 km 438.382 km
    Perigee 429.832 km 427.602 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-13T08:01:52+0000 2026-10-13T14:06:46+0000

    CZ-2D DEB & LEMUR 2 CAEL Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2D DEB & LEMUR 2 CAEL Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEB & LEMUR 2 CAEL Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2D DEB & LEMUR 2 CAEL Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    LEMUR 2 CAELMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    LEMUR 2 CAELCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2D DEB

    No nearby objects data