Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    3.581278E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T04:15:59+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34006
    NORAD ID 34006
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63854
    NORAD ID 63854
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-34015
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-16T00:48:00+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.581278E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.521 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 6.208 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.227 | I (In-track): -0.819 | C (Cross-track): -0.368
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.46
    X Position (km) 4339.281 4340.115
    Position Y (km) 3197.764 3197.594
    Position Z (km) 4234.083 4235.343
    Velocity X (km/s) 1.977 -2.814
    Velocity Y (km/s) 4.767 6.74
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.617 -2.199

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-34015
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6860.736 km 6861.188 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000561 0.000101
    Inclination (i) 74.0522° 43.0021°
    RAAN 231.7586° 279.5030°
    Perigee Argument 194.4799° 256.9023°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 222.4480° 103.1716°
    Apogee 486.450 km 483.744 km
    Perigee 478.748 km 482.358 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-14T21:43:20+0000 2026-10-15T00:45:37+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-34015 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-34015 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-34015 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-34015 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34015Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34015Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data