Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.109242E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-16T00:33:40+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 18214
    NORAD ID 18214
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 57946
    NORAD ID 57946
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1869 STARLINK-30704
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-15T17:40:09+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.109242E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.248 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.137 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.017 | I (In-track): -0.365 | C (Cross-track): -0.921
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.41
    X Position (km) -6299.513 -6300.989
    Position Y (km) 2648.37 2650.033
    Position Z (km) 285.415 285.741
    Velocity X (km/s) -0.684 -1.533
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.791 -4.325
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.558 6.104

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1869 STARLINK-30704
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6826.053 km 6840.841 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001570 0.000203
    Inclination (i) 82.5104° 53.1569°
    RAAN 338.1434° 158.7467°
    Perigee Argument 359.3650° 99.4148°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 0.7573° 260.7084°
    Apogee 458.631 km 464.092 km
    Perigee 437.201 km 461.316 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T02:51:37+0000 2026-10-15T00:27:39+0000

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-30704 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-30704 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-30704 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-30704 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30704Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30704Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1869

    No nearby objects data