Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    4.643512E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T23:41:42+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59936
    NORAD ID 59936
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31962
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-15T16:01:34+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.643512E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.303 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.289 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.299 | I (In-track): 0.032 | C (Cross-track): 0.035
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.88
    X Position (km) -2952.987 -2953.141
    Position Y (km) 4780.743 4780.917
    Position Z (km) -3940.008 -3940.201
    Velocity X (km/s) 1.232 -6.824
    Velocity Y (km/s) -4.303 -1.905
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.159 2.804

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31962
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.748 km 6861.164 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001218 0.000216
    Inclination (i) 82.5042° 43.0002°
    RAAN 296.7754° 173.7713°
    Perigee Argument 71.7155° 250.8813°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 288.5411° 109.1805°
    Apogee 479.954 km 484.510 km
    Perigee 463.268 km 481.544 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-15T07:14:56+0000 2026-10-15T02:09:11+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31962 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31962 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31962 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31962 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31962Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31962Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data