Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.985249E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T07:12:37+0800
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    1 Object 1

    Name GRUS-1C
    AOE ID 47933
    NORAD ID 47933
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    JP JP
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 54638
    NORAD ID 54638
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter GRUS-1C CZ-6A DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-15T13:12:11+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.985249E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.327 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.427 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -2.326 | I (In-track): -0.012 | C (Cross-track): -0.008
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.41
    X Position (km) -3191.259 -3190.182
    Position Y (km) -128.28 -128.248
    Position Z (km) -6171.695 -6169.633
    Velocity X (km/s) -6.526 6.252
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.895 2.73
    Velocity Z (km/s) 3.333 -3.313

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter GRUS-1C CZ-6A DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6948.473 km 6971.149 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001002 0.005185
    Inclination (i) 97.5175° 98.6278°
    RAAN 166.3060° 17.9207°
    Perigee Argument 280.6226° 217.9649°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 79.3869° 141.7908°
    Apogee 577.296 km 629.156 km
    Perigee 563.376 km 556.868 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-14T07:02:41+0000 2026-10-14T05:31:25+0000

    GRUS-1C & CZ-6A DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    GRUS-1C & CZ-6A DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    GRUS-1C & CZ-6A DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    GRUS-1C & CZ-6A DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    GRUS-1CMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-6A DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    GRUS-1CCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    CZ-6A DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with GRUS-1C

    No nearby objects data