Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    3.191284E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T05:25:10+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63585
    NORAD ID 63585
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-33813
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-15T03:39:43+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.191284E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.398 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.233 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.262 | I (In-track): 0.12 | C (Cross-track): -0.273
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.85
    X Position (km) 6557.553 6557.343
    Position Y (km) 131.801 132.052
    Position Z (km) -2020.536 -2020.31
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.236 -1.559
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.001 5.802
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.219 -4.692

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-33813
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.844 km 6861.074 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000754 0.000133
    Inclination (i) 97.5340° 43.0031°
    RAAN 357.8920° 167.9748°
    Perigee Argument 9.9992° 296.1438°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 350.1395° 63.9276°
    Apogee 489.879 km 483.852 km
    Perigee 479.535 km 482.022 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-14T05:43:12+0000 2026-10-14T01:39:33+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-33813 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-33813 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-33813 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-33813 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-33813Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-33813Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data