Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    4.168263E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-14T23:23:18+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 36551
    NORAD ID 36551
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name ERMIS3
    AOE ID 68425
    NORAD ID 68425
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    GR GR

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ERMIS3
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-15T02:17:05+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.168263E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.879 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.609 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.271 | I (In-track): 0.223 | C (Cross-track): 0.806
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.67
    X Position (km) 1689.791 1690.53
    Position Y (km) 1638.889 1638.686
    Position Z (km) -6477.649 -6477.22
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.319 -2.725
    Velocity Y (km/s) 7.328 -6.671
    Velocity Z (km/s) 1.532 -2.399

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ERMIS3
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6897.342 km 6884.209 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003206 0.000058
    Inclination (i) 73.8924° 97.4744°
    RAAN 100.7868° 244.0620°
    Perigee Argument 343.7291° 57.7166°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 16.2870° 302.4125°
    Apogee 541.320 km 506.469 km
    Perigee 497.090 km 505.675 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-13T04:41:07+0000 2026-10-13T20:44:30+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ERMIS3 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ERMIS3 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ERMIS3 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ERMIS3 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    ERMIS3Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    ERMIS3Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data