Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.903664E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T07:12:37+0800
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    1 Object 1

    Name GRUS-1C
    AOE ID 47933
    NORAD ID 47933
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    JP JP
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 54354
    NORAD ID 54354
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter GRUS-1C CZ-6A DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-15T01:57:52+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.903664E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.965 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.086 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.63 | I (In-track): -0.394 | C (Cross-track): -1.021
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.44
    X Position (km) -2634.8 -2634.054
    Position Y (km) -265.391 -266.417
    Position Z (km) -6424.599 -6423.099
    Velocity X (km/s) -6.799 6.115
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.928 3.657
    Velocity Z (km/s) 2.708 -2.643

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter GRUS-1C CZ-6A DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6948.473 km 7004.096 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001002 0.009371
    Inclination (i) 97.5175° 98.7151°
    RAAN 166.3060° 26.6920°
    Perigee Argument 280.6226° 265.2549°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 79.3869° 93.7954°
    Apogee 577.296 km 691.598 km
    Perigee 563.376 km 560.320 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-14T07:02:41+0000 2026-10-14T05:22:48+0000

    GRUS-1C & CZ-6A DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    GRUS-1C & CZ-6A DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    GRUS-1C & CZ-6A DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    GRUS-1C & CZ-6A DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    GRUS-1CMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-6A DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    GRUS-1CCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    CZ-6A DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with GRUS-1C

    No nearby objects data