Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.083944E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-15T04:54:57+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34036
    NORAD ID 34036
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59302
    NORAD ID 59302
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-31447
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-14T21:22:20+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.083944E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.201 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.86 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.832 | I (In-track): -0.66 | C (Cross-track): 1.023
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.41
    X Position (km) -3478.986 -3479.094
    Position Y (km) -5714.32 -5712.252
    Position Z (km) 1522.537 1521.794
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.685 4.299
    Velocity Y (km/s) 0.271 -3.936
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.125 -4.92

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-31447
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6850.517 km 6861.168 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001608 0.000093
    Inclination (i) 73.9976° 43.0044°
    RAAN 237.0203° 77.0151°
    Perigee Argument 212.0091° 261.4296°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 148.0137° 98.6450°
    Apogee 483.395 km 483.672 km
    Perigee 461.365 km 482.390 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-13T21:47:39+0000 2026-10-14T03:24:33+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31447 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31447 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31447 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31447 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31447Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31447Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data