Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    9.136182E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-12T19:35:28+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34572
    NORAD ID 34572
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 40091
    NORAD ID 40091
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    ORB ORB

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ORBCOMM FM 103
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-13T11:32:12+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 9.136182E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.283 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 3.572 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.784 | I (In-track): -2.084 | C (Cross-track): -0.503
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.34
    X Position (km) 886.275 887.273
    Position Y (km) 6925.3 6924.7
    Position Z (km) -1162.274 -1160.31
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.236 -5.258
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.948 -0.22
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.111 -5.353

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ORBCOMM FM 103
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7090.390 km 7074.732 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.006580 0.000246
    Inclination (i) 74.0065° 47.0047°
    RAAN 262.7535° 262.3743°
    Perigee Argument 262.8511° 309.5488°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 154.7700° 50.5180°
    Apogee 758.908 km 698.333 km
    Perigee 665.598 km 694.857 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-12T00:15:12+0000 2026-10-11T15:55:23+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 103 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 103 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 103 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 103 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 103Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 103Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data