Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    5.854142E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-12T17:50:14+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34001
    NORAD ID 34001
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name SORAYA
    AOE ID 58817
    NORAD ID 58817
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    IR IR

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB SORAYA
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-12T13:27:30+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.854142E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.663 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 2.418 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.276 | I (In-track): 1.362 | C (Cross-track): 0.241
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.3
    X Position (km) -2116.157 -2116.54
    Position Y (km) -3707.837 -3710.201
    Position Z (km) 5708.123 5709.287
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.342 2.6
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.335 -6.278
    Velocity Z (km/s) -3.97 -3.108

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB SORAYA
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7145.376 km 7127.579 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001935 0.001236
    Inclination (i) 74.0366° 64.5121°
    RAAN 84.3629° 101.5860°
    Perigee Argument 95.3460° 304.0572°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 276.9685° 55.9340°
    Apogee 781.069 km 758.254 km
    Perigee 753.409 km 740.630 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-11T16:53:54+0000 2026-10-11T23:36:26+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & SORAYA Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & SORAYA Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & SORAYA Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & SORAYA Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    SORAYAMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    SORAYACollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data