Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.447327E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-11T14:24:20+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34815
    NORAD ID 34815
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name GRUS-3B
    AOE ID 69918
    NORAD ID 69918
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    JP JP

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB GRUS-3B
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-12T07:09:19+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.447327E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.143 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.115 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.079 | I (In-track): -0.047 | C (Cross-track): 0.516
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.43
    X Position (km) 6943.864 6945.972
    Position Y (km) 529.59 529.24
    Position Z (km) 198.957 199.112
    Velocity X (km/s) -0.369 0.299
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.063 -1
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.292 -7.495

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB GRUS-3B
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7002.555 km 6970.267 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.005491 0.000593
    Inclination (i) 74.0472° 97.7452°
    RAAN 7.6230° 182.3223°
    Perigee Argument 358.1081° 184.9005°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 1.9879° 175.2157°
    Apogee 662.872 km 596.261 km
    Perigee 585.964 km 587.999 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-10T09:46:18+0000 2026-10-10T10:53:48+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GRUS-3B Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GRUS-3B Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GRUS-3B Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GRUS-3B Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    GRUS-3BMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    GRUS-3BCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data