Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.328123E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-06T14:02:18+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38006
    NORAD ID 38006
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 49384
    NORAD ID 49384
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB YAOGAN-32 2B
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-08T11:41:46+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.328123E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.033 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.922 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.859 | I (In-track): -0.216 | C (Cross-track): 0.53
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.62
    X Position (km) -198.614 -198.894
    Position Y (km) -2025.031 -2024.317
    Position Z (km) 6750.645 6749.953
    Velocity X (km/s) 7.427 -4.339
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.181 -5.845
    Velocity Z (km/s) 0.573 -1.877

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB YAOGAN-32 2B
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7105.223 km 7057.352 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.006637 0.000077
    Inclination (i) 73.8440° 98.2627°
    RAAN 196.0919° 53.0014°
    Perigee Argument 90.0105° 107.9555°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 270.8660° 252.1731°
    Apogee 774.247 km 679.758 km
    Perigee 679.925 km 678.672 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-05T10:25:44+0000 2026-10-05T22:32:33+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & YAOGAN-32 2B Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & YAOGAN-32 2B Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & YAOGAN-32 2B Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & YAOGAN-32 2B Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    YAOGAN-32 2BMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    YAOGAN-32 2BCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data