Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    4.761443E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-06T15:35:04+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38302
    NORAD ID 38302
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58903
    NORAD ID 58903
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2D DEB LEMUR 2 CAEL
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-06T18:43:49+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.761443E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.679 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.16 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.679 | I (In-track): -0.004 | C (Cross-track): 0.043
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.49
    X Position (km) -4498.791 -4497.716
    Position Y (km) 4421.321 4420.206
    Position Z (km) -2588.194 -2587.547
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.814 -1.297
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.259 2.766
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.015 7.01

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2D DEB LEMUR 2 CAEL
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6845.140 km 6811.961 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.005088 0.000846
    Inclination (i) 97.4601° 97.3944°
    RAAN 316.6991° 131.1955°
    Perigee Argument 232.1224° 62.6507°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 127.5411° 297.5602°
    Apogee 501.831 km 439.590 km
    Perigee 432.175 km 428.058 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-04T21:59:05+0000 2026-10-05T13:16:41+0000

    CZ-2D DEB & LEMUR 2 CAEL Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2D DEB & LEMUR 2 CAEL Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEB & LEMUR 2 CAEL Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2D DEB & LEMUR 2 CAEL Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    LEMUR 2 CAELMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    LEMUR 2 CAELCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2D DEB

    No nearby objects data