Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.860189E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-05T21:33:06+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34449
    NORAD ID 34449
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name CSC-1
    AOE ID 58022
    NORAD ID 58022
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    NL NL

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB CSC-1
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-05T19:29:24+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.860189E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.428 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.019 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.201 | I (In-track): -0.039 | C (Cross-track): 0.376
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.84
    X Position (km) -3479.524 -3479.595
    Position Y (km) 1610.277 1610.691
    Position Z (km) -5752.04 -5752.122
    Velocity X (km/s) -6.554 6.319
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.112 -0.95
    Velocity Z (km/s) 3.64 -4.092

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB CSC-1
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6894.197 km 6910.215 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002374 0.000680
    Inclination (i) 74.0275° 97.5275°
    RAAN 182.6306° 345.9730°
    Perigee Argument 164.4319° 217.2821°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 260.7324° 142.7938°
    Apogee 532.430 km 536.778 km
    Perigee 499.690 km 527.378 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-04T20:17:40+0000 2026-10-05T04:08:38+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CSC-1 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CSC-1 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CSC-1 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CSC-1 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CSC-1Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    CSC-1Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data