Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    5.406356E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-16T05:17:46+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 20673
    NORAD ID 20673
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 53690
    NORAD ID 53690
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 886 DEB STARLINK-4570
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-18T11:27:40+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.406356E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.605 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.836 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.319 | I (In-track): -0.345 | C (Cross-track): -1.533
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.5
    X Position (km) -3906.787 -3905.385
    Position Y (km) 2973.83 2974.58
    Position Z (km) -4898.422 -4898.632
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.694 -3.364
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.135 4.267
    Velocity Z (km/s) -4.489 5.278

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 886 DEB STARLINK-4570
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7036.404 km 6927.616 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.024513 0.000230
    Inclination (i) 65.5613° 97.2829°
    RAAN 304.4175° 131.9924°
    Perigee Argument 179.3726° 83.7301°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 180.7742° 276.4188°
    Apogee 830.750 km 551.071 km
    Perigee 485.784 km 547.887 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-15T12:15:29+0000 2026-09-14T21:31:56+0000

    COSMOS 886 DEB & STARLINK-4570 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 886 DEB & STARLINK-4570 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEB & STARLINK-4570 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 886 DEB & STARLINK-4570 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4570Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4570Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 886 DEB

    No nearby objects data