Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    4.18387E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-15T21:58:44+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19921
    NORAD ID 19921
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 42524
    NORAD ID 42524
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2016 THORAD AGENA D DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-17T17:08:53+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.18387E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.873 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.273 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.352 | I (In-track): -0.198 | C (Cross-track): 0.774
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.67
    X Position (km) -295.227 -294.641
    Position Y (km) -1310.836 -1310.23
    Position Z (km) 7255.008 7254.784
    Velocity X (km/s) 3.646 -6.135
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.288 4.002
    Velocity Z (km/s) -0.978 0.489

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2016 THORAD AGENA D DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7358.561 km 7371.777 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003858 0.002901
    Inclination (i) 82.9604° 99.7925°
    RAAN 121.1360° 321.8972°
    Perigee Argument 302.0544° 327.1643°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 219.3131° 46.9428°
    Apogee 1008.812 km 1015.023 km
    Perigee 952.036 km 972.257 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-15T00:51:19+0000 2026-09-13T11:15:45+0000

    COSMOS 2016 & THORAD AGENA D DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2016 & THORAD AGENA D DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2016 & THORAD AGENA D DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2016 & THORAD AGENA D DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2016Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    THORAD AGENA D DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2016Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    THORAD AGENA D DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2016

    No nearby objects data