Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    3.133577E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-16T06:34:05+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34626
    NORAD ID 34626
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 69774
    NORAD ID 69774
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB KUIPER-00615
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-16T23:40:56+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.133577E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.803 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 11.025 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.695 | I (In-track): -0.418 | C (Cross-track): -0.447
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.45
    X Position (km) 2734.404 2733.181
    Position Y (km) -4014.088 -4013.318
    Position Z (km) 5044.86 5043.782
    Velocity X (km/s) 5.286 4.154
    Velocity Y (km/s) -2.442 5.833
    Velocity Z (km/s) -4.812 2.384

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB KUIPER-00615
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7023.878 km 7007.734 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002809 0.000121
    Inclination (i) 74.0460° 51.8998°
    RAAN 144.5773° 255.8722°
    Perigee Argument 167.6198° 121.7682°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 7.5069° 23.2526°
    Apogee 665.469 km 630.443 km
    Perigee 626.013 km 628.751 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-15T10:26:07+0000 2026-09-15T14:00:02+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & KUIPER-00615 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & KUIPER-00615 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & KUIPER-00615 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & KUIPER-00615 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    KUIPER-00615Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    KUIPER-00615Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data