Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.439879E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-16T06:02:30+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 33832
    NORAD ID 33832
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 41182
    NORAD ID 41182
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    ORB ORB

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ORBCOMM FM 110
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-16T04:10:19+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.439879E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.514 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 10.755 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.929 | I (In-track): -1.123 | C (Cross-track): -1.154
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.38
    X Position (km) -3090.169 -3092.458
    Position Y (km) -4254.129 -4254.748
    Position Z (km) -4737.63 -4738.462
    Velocity X (km/s) 4.985 4.4
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.148 -5.658
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.166 2.208

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ORBCOMM FM 110
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7059.320 km 7074.577 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002302 0.000215
    Inclination (i) 74.0552° 47.0021°
    RAAN 40.5893° 295.9897°
    Perigee Argument 3.4753° 153.3889°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 27.2500° 206.7107°
    Apogee 697.432 km 697.962 km
    Perigee 664.934 km 694.918 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-15T09:14:49+0000 2026-09-15T03:49:19+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 110 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 110 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 110 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 110 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 110Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 110Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data