Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.430834E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-14T12:17:17+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 14240
    NORAD ID 14240
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 37499
    NORAD ID 37499
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1486 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-16T01:45:30+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.430834E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.318 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 8.248 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.735 | I (In-track): -1.283 | C (Cross-track): 0.845
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.38
    X Position (km) -1164.257 -1165.316
    Position Y (km) 2060.165 2058.915
    Position Z (km) -6762.397 -6760.758
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.48 -7.321
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.44 0.335
    Velocity Z (km/s) -1.372 1.342

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1486 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7153.573 km 7154.713 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001286 0.002826
    Inclination (i) 74.0545° 74.0384°
    RAAN 248.5929° 178.5670°
    Perigee Argument 147.7787° 192.4331°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 241.9856° 167.6127°
    Apogee 784.635 km 796.793 km
    Perigee 766.237 km 756.359 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-13T22:29:44+0000 2026-09-13T18:53:47+0000

    COSMOS 1486 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1486 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1486 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1486 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1486Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1486Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1486

    No nearby objects data