Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.419914E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-14T05:32:07+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 14240
    NORAD ID 14240
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 37499
    NORAD ID 37499
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1486 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-16T01:45:30+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.419914E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.327 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 8.248 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.734 | I (In-track): 1.292 | C (Cross-track): 0.858
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.38
    X Position (km) -1164.26 -1165.327
    Position Y (km) 2060.173 2058.91
    Position Z (km) -6762.384 -6760.747
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.48 -7.321
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.44 0.335
    Velocity Z (km/s) -1.372 1.342

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1486 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7153.573 km 7154.715 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001288 0.002831
    Inclination (i) 74.0545° 74.0383°
    RAAN 249.5864° 180.8654°
    Perigee Argument 149.0100° 195.0686°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 318.1157° 164.9626°
    Apogee 784.647 km 796.832 km
    Perigee 766.225 km 756.324 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-13T09:28:08+0000 2026-09-12T12:46:13+0000

    COSMOS 1486 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1486 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1486 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1486 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1486Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1486Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1486

    No nearby objects data