Conjunction Event Detail

    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.262068E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-14T11:47:42+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 14240
    NORAD ID 14240
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 38271
    NORAD ID 38271
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1486 METEOR 2-5 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-15T12:38:08+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.262068E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.046 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.249 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.916 | I (In-track): 0.155 | C (Cross-track): -0.48
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.62
    X Position (km) -3363.602 -3362.769
    Position Y (km) -4087.911 -4087.69
    Position Z (km) -4834.115 -4833.523
    Velocity X (km/s) -0.822 4.309
    Velocity Y (km/s) -5.359 2.812
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.105 -5.379

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1486 METEOR 2-5 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7153.573 km 7145.383 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001287 0.002253
    Inclination (i) 74.0545° 81.2034°
    RAAN 249.4550° 45.8884°
    Perigee Argument 148.8523° 51.9183°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 328.9466° 308.4030°
    Apogee 784.645 km 783.347 km
    Perigee 766.227 km 751.145 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-13T11:11:30+0000 2026-09-12T03:24:37+0000

    COSMOS 1486 & METEOR 2-5 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1486 & METEOR 2-5 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1486 & METEOR 2-5 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1486 & METEOR 2-5 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1486Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    METEOR 2-5 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1486Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    METEOR 2-5 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1486

    No nearby objects data