Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    7.77362E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-14T11:37:02+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 8157
    NORAD ID 8157
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    US US
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 11877
    NORAD ID 11877
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter THORAD DELTA 1 DEB COSMOS 1194
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-15T06:20:10+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 7.77362E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.425 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.283 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.339 | I (In-track): -0.013 | C (Cross-track): -0.482
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.53
    X Position (km) 781.841 782.437
    Position Y (km) -5291.715 -5292.688
    Position Z (km) -5699.579 -5700.432
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.459 2.148
    Velocity Y (km/s) -5.172 5.132
    Velocity Z (km/s) 4.725 -4.483

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter THORAD DELTA 1 DEB COSMOS 1194
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7852.918 km 7830.931 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.013399 0.002717
    Inclination (i) 102.1428° 74.0152°
    RAAN 263.3254° 82.6176°
    Perigee Argument 21.8751° 206.9998°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 137.8706° 152.9643°
    Apogee 1580.004 km 1474.068 km
    Perigee 1369.558 km 1431.520 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-13T11:10:29+0000 2026-09-13T18:37:19+0000

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEB & COSMOS 1194 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEB & COSMOS 1194 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEB & COSMOS 1194 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEB & COSMOS 1194 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1194Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1194Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with THORAD DELTA 1 DEB

    No nearby objects data